Recent Posts

  • Saxo Bank's Outrageous Predictions for 2020 | Fri 06 Dec 2019

    Topic: Market commentary

    Saxo Bank’s “10 Outrageous Predictions for 2020” obviously focus on unlikely events, but any one of which could cause considerable turbulence in markets.

    It is a warning for those investors inclined to believe in the status quo, and who don’t believe in “Black Swans” (on which see Investing fundamentals – will it be alright on the night?).

    Their theme is that the reign of disruption continues as global central banks and governments lose control. Investors must be ready for anything. [read more]

  • Trade of the Decade Review | Fri 29 Nov 2019

    Topic: Generating growth

    Back in 2010 we highlighted two areas that we thought offered compelling value for investors over the next 10 years: our two Trades of the Decade. Here we review those ideas and our selections to see how they performed over the decade. [read more]

  • Superstar investors – fact and factors and the next decade | Fri 29 Nov 2019

    Topic: Market commentary

    Everyone wants to know the magic formula to make a big stash of money, quickly. It is why “The secrets of Soros” and “How to invest like Buffett” are regular headline fodder. In a more serious, but similar, vein investment firm AQR also crunched the numbers through the prism of “factors”. Here I look at what is meant by “factors” and what can be learnt, of practical value to your success, from the AQR research.

    You can’t do better than buying an index tracker (a passive fund). That was the conclusion of the efficient market theory and capital asset pricing model (CAPM) fifty-plus years ago, and it has dominated the thinking of a large part of the investment industry ever since.
    [read more]


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